Yesterday was the best day we’ve had for a few days, with a whopping profit of £1.25! In all seriousness, at least there were some returns unlike the last few days. Still hoping for a much better day today however.
3.35 – bet365 Craven Stakes (Group 3) – 1m
It looks to be a decent renewal of the craven this year, though the dead 7 removes any EW interest. I’ll start with the fav, War Decree. Now the form of his Goodwood win where he reversed earlier running with Boynton has clearly worked out well, with Thunder Snow going on to have a really good winter out in Dubai. He will also relish the fast ground, being by War Front. But it is War Front that puts me off him. They just rarely train on. The Galileo mares may help him, but I, like many, am not convinced by him at all when it comes to anything other than a 2yo. And War Decree is not even out of a Galileo mare. Rivet is given another go at trying to prove himself at Newmarket, after clearly not handling the track in the Dewhurst. But Haggas is convinced he will this time, and whilst I may be stupid for disagreeing with him, if he didn’t handle it then, why will he now? I just can’t have him. Larchmont Lad is a big player in my opinion, with the form of his Group 3 win here given a boost by Whitecliffsofdover yesterday. Hannon does also have a good record in this race, which is obviously something to take note of, but my vote goes to Eminent. He looked to have a fair bit of ability when winning here on debut in October, and Meade has given nothing but glowing reports about him over the winter. Whilst ultimately he may appreciate further, he didn’t look short of a turn of foot and he must have a chance.
Selection: Eminent 8/1 (Bet365)
4.45 – bet365 EBF Stallions Maiden Stakes (Plus 10 race) – 1m 2f
Being a Newmarket maiden, this is obviously going to throw up a few winners. Hold Sway boats the best form in the race based on his 3rd behind Dubawi Prince at Doncaster earlier in the month. But that was on soft ground so he may not like this quick ground. And even so, the standard he sets isn’t that high. Instead, I quite like the chances of Rising. He caught the eye when staying on well to finish 5th of 16 over a clearly inadequate 6 1/2f. Judging by his pedigree, this trip is exactly what he needs, so the fact he managed to perform how he did over a trip almost half the distance of this race shows there’s possibly a bit of ability in there. At a decent price, he has the potential to get involved.
Selection: Rising 14/1 EW (Bet365)
5.20 – Close Brothers Premuim Finance 40th Anniversary Handicap – 1m
This looks like it’s going to take some winning. There’s a possibility you could have half a stone in hand in this and still not win. Tricorn is a deserving fav, and looks like he’ll be contesting Group races in he near future, but I like another of Meade’s in here in Ernestsavroblofeld. Now I haven’t a clue how to say his name, but I’m hoping the commentator will have to towards the finish! Now his mark of 85 may seem a bit harsh on what he’s actually achieved so far, but connections feel he is well handicapped off that mark. Meade also felt he was his best chance of a winner at the meeting, even above Eminent, so that needs to be taken note of. Ryan Moore, who has a good record when teaming up with Martyn Meade, is in the saddle, so hopefully that record can be enhanced.
Selection: Ernestsabrovlofeld 10/1 EW (Ladbrokes)
4.00 – Surely UAE Prince has got to be winning this? Now he’s not much of a price, and his draw isn’t ideal, but he’s just got to win. Surely. It’s interesting that Atzeni comes here instead of Newmarket, so perhaps that is a sign of the regard he is held in? That aside, he is an expensive, impeccably-bred colt who will surely take this before stepping up in class next time. He was touted as a Derby prospect by Varian this time last year, and whilst that plan didn’t work out, he still remains with significant potential to be a top class older horse.
Selection: UAE Prince 6/5 (Betfair/Coral)