Racing

26/4/17

It’s been a quiet few days on the betting front, but I’m back with 2 bets for the second day of Punchestown. 

Punchestown

4.55 – Irish Daily Mirror Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) – 3m

This looks a pretty decent race, though it’d be a surprise should the winner come from outside the top 2 in the betting. Penhill is generally fav, and comes here on the back of causing a shock in the Albert Bartlett. He travelled incredibly well that day, and won easily despite being impeded at the second last. But despite that, he’s still rated 6lb lower than Presenting Percy who also comes here on the back of a Cheltenham win. You’ve got to be a serious horse to win the Pertemps off 11-11, and definitely deserves a crack at this. He’s rated 44lb higher than when winning his Galway maiden hurdle in October, and there’s nothing to suggest that improvement will stop here. He’s the one to beat. 

Selection: Presenting Percy 11/4 (General)


6.05 – Racing Post Champion I.N.H Flat Race (Grade 1) – 2m

Despite there only being 7 runners, this looks a proper race. But I’m going to stick with Fayonagh, who I put up at 14/1 when she won the Champion Bumper. It was clear from her Fairyhouse rout that she was very good, and her win at Cheltenham was incredible. How she won that from so far back I’ll never know. Poli Roi was sold for £300,000 after winning his point, and easily won a bumper at Navan in February. But Codd would’ve had the choice to ride him and has chosen Fayonagh instead, and with him going all out for the amateur title you’d have to think she’s Gordon Elliott’s best chance of winning this. Carter McKay perhaps didn’t like the big field at Cheltenham, and whilst he may prefer this I’ve never really liked him. Paloma Blue certainly looked well above average when giving Henry de Bromhead an incredibly rare Bumper winner at Fairyhouse, but like most of his you’d think he’s going to need a fence to mix it at the very top level. I think the main danger here is Someday for Jessica Harrington. She’s absolutely flying in the last month or so. It looked a good race he won at Leopardstown, as Mullins thought Voix Des Tiep was a good one. Someday was then well supported in the days leading up to the Champion Bumper before being made a NR on the morning of the race, so whilst he’s fresh, he’s going to have to be very good to beat Fayonagh. 

Selection: Fayonagh 2/1 (SkyBet)

Advertisements
Standard

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s