24/8/17 – Ebor Day 2

We only had 2 bets on Day 1, but ended up with a small profit thanks to Cracksman’s rout, and with 3 picks on Day 2 I’m hopeful we’ll end up in front again. The write ups are nowhere near as detailed as yesterday but at least it means I won’t be rambling on!

York

1.55 – Goffs Premier Yearling Sales – 6f

Richard Fahey has made no secret of the fact he rates Great Prospector in here as his best chance of the week, but the one I like is Hey Jonesy. He was a good 2nd on debut but built on that here at the end of July when beating Staxton 2 3/4l. Granted, Staxton was carrying a penalty that day but those 2 pulled miles clear of the 3rd, marking them out as both being well above average. Staxton has since won another novice race up at Haydock, again carrying the penalty. The 3rd behind Hey Jonesy and Staxton (beaten 8 3/4l) has since won a novice race too, and with Kevin Ryan’s string in good form, I’m very hopeful he’ll go close. I’d imagine we’ll end up on good ground but nobody really knows. However, Hey Jonesy was 2nd on debut on good to firm and won here on good to soft so it shouldn’t make a difference. 

Selection: 0.5pt EW Hey Jonesy 9/2 (Paddy Power/Betfair as paying 4 places)


2.25 – Sky Bet Lowther Stakes (Group 2) – 6f

Actress sets the standard here, and should probably be fav, but I don’t think she’s going to end up being too much better than her current rating in all honesty. Happy Like A Fool was backed as if defeat was out of the question at Royal Ascot but there were many fingers burnt (including my own) when she was turned over. It will be interesting to see her again but she’d probably have wanted the ground a little firmer. Instead I’m going to take a chance on Special Purpose for William Haggas and Oisin Murphy. It’s very interesting that she runs here rather than in the preceding race, a race Haggas has won 3 times in the last 4 years, and she was his sole entry in the race. So she’s clearly held in some regard, and Haggas has a good record in this race too, having won it twice in the last 5 years. She didn’t have to work hard at all to score on debut at Lingfield, and pissed up at Beverley LTO. The 2nd that day won next time too so the form looks decent enough, and whilst it’s hard to be too confident in a race like this, she’s the one I want to be siding with at the prices. 

Selection: 0.5pt EW Special Purpose 13/2 (SkyBet)


3.00 – Clipper Logistics Handicap – 7f 192y

This is clearly a tough race to solve, but the one I like is One Word More for the Tim Easterby stable, who had a winner here on Day 1 with Wells Farhh Go. One Word More clearly likes the Knavesmire having been placed here off marks ranging from 98-103 on no less than 5 occasions. Whilst he hasn’t won since April 2015, he is now back down to his last winning mark in 92, and shaped with a lot more promise last time at Goodwood. He’s weighted to go close again on a track he likes, and he’ll do for me. 

Selection: 0.5pt EW One Word More 14/1 (SkyBet, 6 places)


Yorkshire Oaks a definite no bet race for me. Enable will win and I have no idea what will finish 2nd to her so won’t be getting involved in the w/o market either. But I would like to point out that it is ludicrous to believe that Taghrooda getting beat in this race has any impact on Enable, it’s utter bollocks. Just watch and enjoy a superstar of a horse. 

Mori should also win the following race but I can’t back her at odds on after a mid season break. 

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