Swans to fly up the table?

7 fold – Bayern, Swansea, Southend, Sampdoria, PSV, Charleroi and Waregem @ 17.86/1 with Betway


In their last 10 games Bayern have picked up 26 points, the most in the Bundesliga, which has sent them 5 points clear at the top of the table. They face a Koln side that has been in the European places until the last few weeks, but having not won in 4, losing to Hamburg, Frieburg and Leipzig, have slipped to 7th. This is a game that Bayern should be winning, and I expect them to make it 17 wins in 19.


Swansea come into this game on their best run of form in the season so far, picking up 9 points from a possible 15, only losing to top of the table Chelsea and away at Champions League contenders in Manchester City, the latter of which was a close fought contest in which they conceded the winner in the 90+2 minute. They face a Burnley side who haven’t won away all season, and have only managed to pick 2 points from 12 away from their home fortress of Turf Moor. I can only see Swansea winning this one, a win which could send them 5 points clear of the bottom 3.


Southend come into their match tomorrow knowing a win could send them into the play off spots, depending upon other results. Their form has been mixed recently, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 in their last 8. Their home form however is far better, losing only 1 game in their last 17 in all competitions at Roots Hall. In contrast, Port Vale are on one of the worst runs in the EFL at the moment, only managing 14 points in their last 20 league games. This is compiled by their dreadful away form, having only picked up 1 win in 20 in all competitions. I can’t see the Vale getting anything from this game.


Next up in the acca will be Sampdoria at 5:00. They come into this game undefeated in 5, and having only lost 1 in their last 12 at home. They face a Pescara side who are currently bottom of Serie A, and who have only managed to pick up 12 points all season (26 games). They are awful away from home as well, losing 13 of their last 15 on their travels, drawing the other 2. If Sampdoria drop points here, I’ll be shocked.


PSV come into this game after a narrow 2-1 defeat away to top of the Eredivisie Feyenoord. Before that game, PSV had won 7 in a row, and had a very clear chance to get Champions League football for next year. As it stands, they can’t needlessly drop any more points in that chase, and facing a Roda side who are 1 point and 1 place above the relegation zone, they should easily win. Roda’s away form is poor to say the least, only managing 1 away win in 15.


The next 2 games are both in the Belgian Jupiler League, and kick off with Charleroi. They come into this game after winning 4 of of their last 6, and winning 9 of their last 12 at home. They face a Kortrijk side who have only managed 3 points in their last 8 on their travels, and I can’t see them increasing that points tally tomorrow.


The last leg of our Saturday acca is Waregem. Their home form this season has been amazing, being unbeaten in their last 17 at home, and find themselves lying 3rd in the table, 8 points off the top (it’s usually a 2 horse race between Club Brugge and Anderlecht in Belgium, and this year is no different). They face a Westerlo side who are 2nd bottom of the Jupiler League, and have only managed to pick up 22 points this season (28 games). If you thought their general form was bad, look at their away form. In their last 17 away games they have only managed 11 points.


Melbourne to lead us to Victory?

6 fold – Melbourne Victory, Newcastle, Oxford Utd, Celtic, Juventus and Bayern @ 5.34/1 with William Hill

Melbourne Victory

The Victory have recently bounced back from 3 losses at the end of January, gaining 7 points in 3 games, which started against their Melbourne rivals, Melbourne City. In their last 15, Victory are joint table toppers, with Sydney, after collecting 32 points in that period. In contrast, Adelaide only managed 13 points in the same time period, and have only managed 3 points (all of which were draws) in their 9 games away from home all season.

Bayern Munich

Bayern currently sit top of the Bundesliga, 5 points clear of RedBull Leipzig. They are the in form team in the Bundesliga at the moment, only dropping 4 points from 10 games. They play a Hamburg side who sit 1 place, and 1 point, out of the relegation zone, and who have only managed to pick up 8 points away from home this season (11 games).


Newcastle come off a 2-0 victory against Aston Villa that sent them top of the Championship. Their home form has been impressive, only dropping 8 points in their last 15, and I fully expect that run to continue against a Bristol City side that haven’t won away in the league since September. Their leakiness in defence, conceding 21 goals in 10 games (2nd most in the Championship), should be exposed by the wealth of attacking options available to Rafa Benitez.


Oxford are the riskiest team to be put in the acca tomorrow, but I am confident of them securing a victory over a Chesterfield side who seem to know their relegation fate. They have only lost 2 of their last 11, winning the rest, and have only dropped 3 points out of the last possible 21 on their travels. In contrast, Chesterfield have only managed to pick up the odd victory all season, their last of which came against another struggling side in Coventry, 7 games ago. Even though I think this is the match that would, if any would, let the acca down, the price is slightly too big, and should be taken.


Do I even need to explain my reasoning for Celtic? Only dropping 2 points all season (25 games) they will play Hamilton who have only managed 21 points from 25 games, and sit 11th, of 12, in the SPL. Yeah, if this loses I may just give up on betting on everything until Cheltenham, not just the horses!


Juventus have won their last 8 in a row, form which has put them 7 points clear at the top of Serie A. They play at home tomorrow, a place which has served them well this season, managing to pick up every single point. They face an Empoli side who sit 17th, but are a clear 8 points above the team below them. I can only see this fixture going one way.


Seagulls to shit all over Ipswich?

4-fold – Brighton, Sheffield Wednesday, Millwall and Colchester all to win @ 5.74/1 with Betfair


Brighton currently sit 2nd in the championship, and if they win tomorrow have a chance of going top (if they better Newcastle’s result). They’ve won their last 7 at home, not losing since Reading beat them back in September. Tomorrow they are playing an Ipswich side that are heavily reliant on their young striker on loan from Manchester United, Tom Lawrence, who has scored 3 in their last 4. Ipswich have only managed 1 other goal in those games, but with a solid defence Brighton should be able to keep the youngster out.

Sheffield Wednesday 

Sheffield Wednesday are in the acca for the exact same reason as they were in our treble last Friday. They have done well recently, even though the results alone don’t look like it when you see them out of context. In their last 6, they have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2, however, when you realise the 2 losses have been a narrow 2-1 loss to Brighton, and to Middlesbrough in the cup, they haven’t done that bad. Wednesday are also on a good run of form at home as well, picking up 25 out of the last possible 33 points at home. Whereas Blackburn have the 3rd worst away record in the league, only managing 9 points from 14 games.


Millwall has always been known to be a difficult place to go, and this year it has been no different, with both Bournemouth and Watford finding out in the FA cup. They are unbeaten in 5 at home, and with Port Vale’s away form this run should easily be extended. Port Vale have only managed 8 points from 14 games away this season, and a change of manager hasn’t made much of a difference. They have only managed to pick up 1 win since the change, and that was against fellow strugglers Chesterfield 1-0 at home.


Colchester seem to have turned a corner since their 2-1 loss to Yeovil in mid November, losing only 1 in 12 and that was to a in form Exeter side. They’ve won 5 on the bounce at home, and go into tomorrow’s match full of confidence. In contrast, Crawley haven’t won in 4, and have only managed 1 win in 14 away from home. Having only picked up 12 points on their travels all season (16 games), they have the worst away record in League 2. As everybody knows in League 2 anybody can beat anybody, but this looks as nailed on as I’ve seen in a while.


Saturday 11th February – Football Tips

Saturday 11/2/17
6 fold – TNS, Brighton, Derby, Leeds, Luton and Monaco all to win @ 12.66/1 (BetVictor)


TNS are 31 unbeaten, only failing to win once in that run. That game being a 3-3 draw in their last away game, where they conceded a 94th min equaliser. Since then they have won 3 on the bounce, scoring 13, and haven’t conceded. Carmarthen on the other hand are a mid table side, and their form in their last 11 proves this, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 4.


Brighton are currently 2nd in the Championship, and on a superb run of form at home, winning 6 on the bounce. They need to bounce back on from a couple of disappointing results Saturday, after losing to a good Huddersfield side and drawing 3-3 away at Brentford. They will face a Burton side who are in a relegation battle. They have won 3 of their last 12, losing the rest, showing why they are where they are. Also, with the uncertainty around their manager Nigel Clough going to Nottingham Forest to follow in his father’s footsteps, that could provide an unwelcome distraction. 


Derby’s home form speaks for itself, winning 7 of their last 10, drawing the rest. The key to Derby’s home record is that they don’t concede many, 4 goals in 10, 2 of which came in the cup against Leicester, and the other 2 coming against a fellow promotion contender in Reading. Tomorrow they play Bristol City, who are struggling, picking 1 point up in their last 10 away from home in the league.


Leeds have won 10 of their last 12 at home this season, with only Newcastle able to beat them, and Wigan snatched a draw with a last minute equaliser. Cardiff on the other hand have been a mixed bag this season, and find themselves in a pack of teams stuck between mid table and the relegation zone.


Luton have done well this season, and find themselves currently sitting in a playoff spot. In recent weeks they have won 4 of their last 5 at home, but the main reason for backing them tomorrow is the poorness of their opposition, Crawley. They have only managed 12 points away from home all season (15 games), the worst in the league. The main problem for this is their inability to find the back of the net, only managing 15 goals away from home, and conceding almost 2 goals a game when on their travels (conceded 29) they should find this very difficult. 


Monaco are the last team to kick off in the acca at 7pm so hopefully it’s still alive at this point. They sit top of Ligue 1, mostly thanks to their home form, only dropping 5 out of a possible 36. However, they have also played well away from home recently, and are unbeaten in 8 in the league. They play against mid table Metz, and I can only see this game going 1 way. Metz have only managed to score 1 goal away in their last 7, losing 6 of those games and 1 drawing the other. 


Friday 10th February – Football

Treble – Sheffield Wednesday, Doncaster and Napoli all to win at 3.38/1

Sheffield Wednesday 

Sheffield Wednesday have had a mixed last 5, if looking at results out of context, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 2. However, when you see that the 2 losses have actually been a narrow 2-1 loss to Brighton, and to Middlesbrough in the cup, they haven’t done too badly. Wednesday are also on a good run of form at home as well, picking up 22 out of the last 30 available points. They seem like a safe bet, especially considering they are playing against a Birmingham side who are on a awful run of form, winning 1 of their last 11.


I’ve seen Doncaster a few times this season, and they have looked like deserved leaders on every single one. Away from home they have picked up 16 of their last 21 available points, only dropping points against a top side in Plymouth, and Mansfield, who have a decent record at home. They are playing Newport tonight, who currently sit bottom of the football league for a good reason; they are awful. I’d be shocked if they are able to get anything here, even though they are 4 unbeaten, all of which came against teams on poor runs of form.


Napoli are coming off a superb 7-1 victory against Bologna, and are currently on a purple patch of form, winning 10 of their last 12. Genoa haven’t won since the 15th of December, losing 6 of their last 8 since then. On paper this should be an easy victory, so let’s hope so.